SATURDAY AM: Following Supergirl‘s plummet to Earth last weekend, and the pain that’s caused the James Gunn and Peter Safran’s DC, the general media might be quick to declare the death of Illumination/Universal‘s Minions this weekend after the franchise’s lowest result with $39.5M 3-day and $64.5M 5-day from Minions & Monsters. But to quote Nikki from Obsession, “No! No! No! No!”. Don’t go there just yet. It’s not a bomb. However, it’s clear the Gentleminions are not in out in bulk this weekend, at least in North America.
Overseas, the giggly guys are winning with a $100M running foreign cume, after an $87M second international B.O. weekend, taking their global haul to $164.5M. Universal has dealt with aging franchises before, i.e. Fast & Furious, so they know how to roll these in the quotient of foreign territories and domestic to still bow these brands to respectable global numbers.
It’s the worst of years whenever July 4th (like Christmas Eve) lands on Friday, Saturday or Sunday. We need to take that into consideration. At the same time, the box office isn’t dead. While the overall marketplace at $123M is down -21% from last year’s first weekend in July which did $155.6M (the holiday fell on a Friday), Minions and Monsters is facing very fierce competition from Disney/Pixar’s just-as-popular Toy Story 5 which is putting up a strong third weekend between $32M-$36M. That means families are certainly heading to theaters. It’s the first time that a Despicable Me or Minions has faced competition around this time of year from a Toy Story and that’s because Pixar sequels hit theaters at a significantly slower rate than Gru and little guys, alas to create want and anticipation. Also, Angel Studio/Wonder Project’s historical pic Young Washington is coming in well ahead of $15M forecasts with an estimated $18M opening.
First of all, if anyone from Universal or Illumination was upset by these results stateside, the answer to that is — what do you expect? Minions & Monsters is the seventh movie in a 16-year old franchise; that’s essentially averages out to a movie every two years. This franchise has historically played around July 4, and audiences know that, so what’s the rush this installment this year? With the failure of Supergirl (current running global cume is $89M, and an estimated $9M weekend, golly gosh, down a -76% free fall, worse than The Flash‘s -73%), it also doesn’t help not having a popular live-action film in the market to create more momentum in theaters. Uni keeps going back to the well with these movies due to the lucrative merchandise, and for the most part, the grosses, especially post Covid there for a bit with Despicable Me 4 and Minions: The Rise of Gru remained high for a bit. There’s too much of a temptation to abstain from releasing Gru and Minions movies. On the bright side, Minions and Despicable Me are holding up much better at the box office than 20th Century Fox’s summer animated franchise Ice Age which over the course of 14 years pumped out five movies, and saw its openings dwindle from a 3-day peak of $68M to $21.3M with the last movie, 2016’s Ice Age: Collusion Course. Actually, there’s no comparison as Despicable Me/Minions is far more richer series with more than $5.6 billion worldwide. Disney has another Ice Age in the works, next year’s Ice Age: Boiling Point. The trick to success with any of these long-running popular series is that absence makes the heart grow fonder and putting on the brakes for a while can fuel another generation of blockbuster grosses (again, Uni has practiced this before with the segue from Jurassic Park to Jurassic World).
This is a different kind of Minions movie, less about any kind of spy mission, and more of a love letter to yesteryear Hollywood. I don’t seem to recall a lot of farting going on in this movie as far as laughs go. But the numbers saw it all: the overall definite recommend on Screen Engine/Rentrak’s PostTrak is done to an alright 58% versus Minions: Rise of Gru‘s 71% and Despicable Me 4‘s 63%.
Even with the lower North American grosses on Minions and Monsters, Universal will continue to laugh like a Minion all the way to the bank given the pic’s thrifty $85M production cost, and all the bananas from merchandise. Summer isn’t over yet, and these movies can leg out to 3.5x to a near 5x their 3-day opening.
****
Other deets on Minions & Monsters show 53% female leaning, due to moms, with Latino and Hispanic moviegoers out with 37%, Caucasian 35%, Asian Americans at 14% and Black at 7%. Even split between over and under 25 with the 18-24 demo being the best demo so far at 33% followed by 25-34 with 29%. PLF and Imax are repping 34% of the weekend while 12% watched it in 3D. Minions & Monsters is playing evenly throughout U.S. and Canada with West and South Central the best. AMC Citywalk at Universal Studios Hollywood is the best grossing venue for the pic in the country with $156K so far.
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FRIDAY PM UPDATE: Illumination/Universal’s Minions & Monsters is creating less frenzy than expected with a 5-day start of $63.5M in North America versus the $80M that was hoped.
Current 3-day is $38.5M at 4,243 theaters, making Minions & Monsters easily No. 1. Note some exhibitors noticed in their forecasts that the little guys could be this low. And yes, that’s the lowest 3-day and 5-day opening in the Despicable Me/Minions franchise. Previous 3-day low came from the first film back in 2010 which was $56.3M not accounting for inflation. This is the third time that Universal has opened the Despicable/Minions movie on a Wednesday over the July 4th stretch after 2013’s Despicable Me 2 ($143M) and 2024’s Despicable Me 4 ($122.6M). 2022’s Rise of Gru was a 4-day opening with $123M.
Friday is looking at $16M for Minions & Monsters, +48% from Thursday and so far the highest grossing domestic day for the Pierre Coffin-directed and -voiced sequel.
If the domestic $63.5M holds, we know that Minions & Monsters will clear at least $101M WW when you factor in last weekend’s foreign opening from ten territories, in addition to those which opened on Wednesday and Thursday, that foreign cume as of this AM being $37.6M. The giggle guys typically rally abroad with at least 60% or more of their global take coming from foreign ticket sales.
Second at the domestic B.O. goes to the third weekend of Disney/Pixar’s Toy Story 5 at 3,975 theaters with $13M today, and an estimated 3-day of $30M, -58%, for a running cume by Sunday of $365.3M.
Third is Angel Studio/Wonder Project’s Young Washington at 2,700 sites and ahead of its $15M projection with an estimated $16M-$17M. Today is $7.5M. Critics are so-so at 60% fresh, but audiences love it at 92% on Rotten Tomatoes.
William Franklyn-Miller in ‘Young Washington’
Angel Studios
Fourth goes Warner Bros/DC Studio’s Supergirl at 3,602 locations with a second Friday that’s $4M and a second estimated weekend of $10M, currently a -73% nosedive; not as bad as Joker: Folie a Deux‘s -81% second frame drop, but the same as The Flash‘s. Ten-day total by Sunday is $48.8M.
Fifth is Universal/Amblin’s Disclosure Day with a fourth weekend of $5.6M, -32% after a $2.2M Friday and a running cume by Sunday of $104.8M.
PREVIOUS THURSDAY AM UPDATE AFTER EXCLUSIVE: Illumination/Universal’s Minions & Monsters came in ahead of where we spotted it Wednesday with $14.23M and an A- CinemaScore.
With the movie rising to 69 territories overall this weekend (10 of those released last weekend), note that even if domestic eases here for the seventh movie in the 16-year-old Gru-and-little-guys franchise, overseas will take over. International box office typically delivers some 60%-plus for these movies. Two of them crossed a billion — 2015’s Minions and 2017’s Despicable Me 3–but three of ’em came close to $1B, that being 2022’s Minions: The Rise of Gru, 2013’s Despicable Me 2 and 2024’s Despicable Me 4.
As far as that A- goes, it’s the second one for the Illumination franchise after Despicable Me 3.
Disney/Pixar’s Toy Story 5 made $7.8M on Wednesday, off by 38% from Tuesday’s $12.6M. The running cume for the Andrew Stanton-directed movie is $326.6M. Warner Bros/DC’s Supergirl was third with $2.1M and a running six-day total of $46.5M.
RELATED: ‘Minions & Monsters’ Voice Cast Guide: From Jeff Bridges To Zoey Deutch
PREVIOUS EXCLUSIVE: Illumination/Universal’s Minions & Monsters is posting an estimated $13.75M opening day — that’s without any previews. The Chris Melandandri-produced, Pierre Coffin-directed animated movie is the seventh title in the Despicable Me and Minions $5.6 billion global grossing franchise, and it’s easily No. 1 for today.
There’s a lot of runway left in the holiday weekend, especially with July 4th falling on a Saturday, which happened most recently in 2020, 2015 and 2009. Due to holiday activities, typically there’s a falloff in moviegoing on July 4, but Friday and Sunday will be high for a family film such as Minions & Monsters.
While Minions & Monsters is posting the fourth-best opening Wednesday for an animated movie in July behind Despicable Me 2 ($35M), Despicable Me 4 ($27.2M) and 2009’s Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs ($13.79M), the latest Illumination title is the best reviewed ever for the 16-year-old franchise at 90% certified fresh. The tracking forecast for Minions & Monsters was $80M, but exhibitor projections were wide between $60M-$90M. The film cost a net $85M before global P&A spend, we understand.
RELATED: Pierre Coffin & Chris Meledandri Lift The Lid On ‘Minions & Monsters’, Box Office Pressure & Prospects For An Eighth Movie
Minions & Monsters follows the early days of Gru’s little henchman in the 1920s heyday of Hollywood from their rise and fall and rise again as movie stars and defenders of Earth against an alien invasion. Minions & Monsters made $10M+ from 10 offshore territories last weekend including France, Belgium and France.
Disney/Pixar’s Toy Story 5 is No. 2 for Wednesday, we hear, with $7M-$8M, for a running cume around $326M in its second week.
RELATED: ‘Toy Story 5’ Review: Pixar’s Franchise Hits The Bull’s-Eye With A Tech-Savvy Return To Form
Among 5-day animated openings over the Independence Day holiday, Despicable Me 2 owns the record at $143M, followed by Despicable Me 4 at $122.6M.
Also opening on Friday is Angel Studios and Wonder Project’s historical biopic Young Washington starring Andy Serkis, Mary-Louise Parker, Ben Kingsley, Kelsey Grammer and William Franklyn-Miller as the Father of Our Country.
RELATED: ‘Young Washington’ Review: Just In Time For America’s 250th Comes A Sanitized Origin Story About The First U.S. President’s Early Life On The Battlefields
